Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Gameweek 30 — Saturday 14 Mar 2026, 15:00
Sunderland
Home
vs
15:00
NS
Brighton & Hove Albion
Away
Pre-Match Analysis
Poisson Lambdas
Home (λ)
1.66
Away (λ)
0.79
xG Average (Last 5)
Home
0.00
Away
0.00
Goals Average
Home
Scored
1.57
Conceded
0.93
Away
Scored
1.14
Conceded
1.43
Form (Last 5)
Home
W
D
L
L
L
Away
L
W
W
L
L
Strength Ratings
Home
Attack
1.16
Defence
0.69
Away
Attack
0.85
Defence
1.06
H2H & Rates
BTTS Rate
0%
O2.5 Rate
0%
H2H Home W
0%
Home CS Rate
3,571%
Away CS Rate
2,143%
Pre-Match Odds
Home
3.31
Draw
3.30
Away
2.22
BTTS Y
1.80
BTTS N
1.96
O2.5
2.00
U2.5
1.80
Tips
1X2
home
@ 3.31
Confidence
95.0%
True Prob
5,812.0%
Implied Prob
3,021.0%
Edge
+2,791.0%
Key Factors
λ Home: 1.6629 | λ Away: 0.7861
Model probability: 58.1%
Bookmaker implied: 30.2%
Edge: +27.9%
Pending
BTTS
no
@ 1.96
Confidence
74.0%
True Prob
5,581.0%
Implied Prob
5,102.0%
Edge
+479.0%
Key Factors
λ Home: 1.6629 | λ Away: 0.7861
Model probability: 55.8%
Bookmaker implied: 51%
Edge: +4.8%
Pending